Abu Farsakh expects a “black scenario” for Corona in Jordan
Amman Today
publish date 2021-12-13 12:19:56
Jordan News
A consultant in histological and clinical diagnostics – American Board, Dr. Hossam Abu Farsakh, to change the rules of the game with Corona in Jordan and in the world, expecting that more than two million people will be infected in the Kingdom during the next four months.
This comes according to Abu Farsakh, “After the spread of Omicron in more than 60 countries in the world, and after the percentage of Omicron cases in Britain has become about a third of the cases so far (more than 3000 confirmed cases, and much more uncertain), and it is expected that it will prevail in the UK. The world in two months from now.”
The following are the main points that Abu Farsakh presented in his publication today, Monday:
The number of cases in the world will increase very significantly as a result of the rapid spread of Omron (from three to five times the speed of Delta). It is expected in Jordan that more than two million people will be infected during the next four months (and it is expected that in Britain it will infect about 25 million people, according to epidemiologists there). This means that the number of cases in Jordan may reach 15,000 cases per day (from a theoretical point of view).
Hospital admissions in Jordan will increase over the next four months to an average of 200 hospital admissions per day. The expected deaths will be 30-40 deaths per day.
But although the number of cases is much more than the previous waves, but the number of deaths is much less in proportion (i.e. the death rate will be less than 1 per thousand and here it is close to the death rate from seasonal flu and much less than the death rate from the original Corona, which was 2%).
This wave will bring herd immunity to the whole world, and this is what is expected during the next four months, and the only way to end this epidemic from my point of view. Omron will come with a force and will hit even the countries where the vaccine rate has reached 90-100%, as expected.
My advice to our people in Jordan
1- Stay away from any gatherings and parties during the coming months, especially New Year’s celebrations, as they may be the spark that worsens the situation.
2- Commitment to the muzzle more than usual
3- Taking the vaccine for those who did not take it before and take the booster dose. Although the efficiency of the vaccine is lower with Omron, but this is the best available now and it protects against death and strong injuries
4- Prepare in the field hospitals from now on for the possibility of an attack by Omron, which is inevitably coming to us
5- Not to resort to the ban, as the ban process has proven to do more harm than benefit in reducing the epidemic, as well as from an economic point of view, which was already exhausted from this epidemic
6- The peak of this wave will be in the beginning of February next year
These are my own expectations (not binding on anyone) based on my studies of the subject and the opinion of other experts in the world, and my anticipation of its reflection on the internal special situation in Jordan, in preparation for what might lead to the situation with Omron. In the end, this is not out of pessimism, but in terms of taking the necessary precautions until the end of this epidemic, which I believe, God willing, will be at the beginning of next year.
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Jordan News
Source : اخبار الاردن